Dogecoin price has returned to a level that should be watched closely for long-term price action, as multi-year chart structures begin to resemble conditions that preceded its last historic rally.
Still spending years correcting from its 2021 peak, Dogecoin is now trading inside a well-defined accumulation zone on the higher time frame, according to a new technical analysis shared by Crypto Patel on X. The analyst noted that this phase may be setting the stage for a macro Wave 5 expansion that takes the meme coin to new price highs, provided important support levels continue to hold.
Dogecoin Sitting In High-Timeframe Accumulation Zone
Technical roadmap on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart breaks Dogecoin’s price action after the 2021 price high into Elliott Wave phases. Wave 1 and Wave 2 are marked as complete, followed by a strong Wave 3 advance that topped around $0.48 in December 2024. Since then, DOGE has entered a Wave 4 corrective phase, forming a descending channel that has guided price lower for over a year without invalidating the broader bullish structure.
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This descending channel is important to this technical analysis. Similar corrective behavior appeared just before Dogecoin’s last major expansion in 2021, where the price consolidated for an extended period before breaking upward decisively.
Dogecoin is now trading inside a high-timeframe demand zone that acted as the base for its 2020 to 2021 parabolic rally. This area sits just above a long-term horizontal support level that has held firm for an extended period, including through the depths of the 2022 bear market.
According to the analyst, this region between $0.115 and $0.09 is a clear zone of sustained accumulation, where buying pressure has consistently prevented deeper breakdowns.
Wave 5 Targets Multi-Year Expansion Path
If the accumulation zone continues to hold and the price breaks out of the descending channel, then the next projection is the playout of a Wave 5 impulse move. Crypto Patel’s mapped targets for this phase start around $0.28, followed by higher extensions at $1, $2, and ultimately $4.
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At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1247. Therefore, from current levels, that final target of $4 would represent a move of over 3,100%. However, this is small compared to the magnitude of Dogecoin’s previous macro expansion of 26,800% in the previous cycle.
On the other hand, the analysis noted that invalidation is also well defined. A weekly close below $0.06 would break the higher-timeframe structure and invalidate the Wave 5 thesis. Until then, the technical analysis suggests Dogecoin is in a compression phase where downside risk is increasingly defined, but upside expansion into new price highs is possible if Dogecoin embarks on the final impulse of the cycle.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
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