Dogecoin is facing a confusing technical setup as technical analysis warns of a major higher-timeframe move that could first send DOGE into a deeper accumulation zone. The chart appears bearish at first glance, but the inverted price scale changes the reading, turning the projected drop into a longer-term bullish setup that points to $1, $2, and eventually $5.
Dogecoin Is Approaching Its Smart Money Zone
Technical analysis done by a crypto analyst known as Crypto Patel is built around the idea that Dogecoin may still need to push lower before its larger upside cycle begins. Crypto Patel’s 3-week DOGE/USD chart on TradingView covers over a decade, from 2014 to a projected 2028, and it shows repetitive price action. The key detail, however, is that the chart is inverted for emphasis, meaning the bearish-looking projection actually points to a bullish long-term move.
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The chart shows Dogecoin inside a descending channel that has guided the price for years. The first major phase began with a rejection at the upper trendline before the 2017 cycle, followed by a large move that eventually gave way to another long correction. A second major base formed around early 2021, which later led to Dogecoin’s explosive run during the last meme coin mania.
Crypto Patel appears to be comparing the current structure to those earlier phases. The third setup on the chart is developing right now, where Dogecoin looks like it is rejecting at the upper trendline of the descending channel.
What’s Next For Dogecoin?
The marked rejection zone around the current area shows that the Dogecoin price could still revisit as low as $0.07 in the accumulation range for a bottom before a strong higher-timeframe reversal. According to Crypto Patel, retail traders will sell the bottom, but smart money traders are already setting alerts.
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Interestingly, on-chain data support this notion of smart money movements and whales that are accumulating Dogecoin. Recent on-chain data in early May shows that Dogecoin whales recently recorded their busiest day in six months, and most of this activity is accumulation moves.
If Dogecoin breaks below the current range without strong spot demand, the move could still drag the price deeper into Crypto Patel’s $0.10 to $0.07 accumulation band. However, the projection shows the Dogecoin price reversing around the accumulation band and embarking on a rally, with the analyst pointing at $1, $2, and $5 targets.
Crypto Patel’s $1, $2, and $5 targets are very bullish, especially because Dogecoin is down by 85% from its 2021 all-time high of $0.7316.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.109. The first major checkpoint would be confirming daily and weekly closes above $0.10, reclaiming higher resistance levels around $0.15 to $0.20, and confirming that the current structure has moved out of a long corrective phase.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
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