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Bitcoin Plunges 11%, Eyes $41k Mark: Major Correction Looming?

January 19, 2024
in Australian Crypto News
Reading Time: 4min read
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Bitcoin Plunges 11%, Eyes $41k Mark: Major Correction Looming?
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  • Despite recent approvals for Spot Bitcoin ETFs and initial high expectations, the Bitcoin price has experienced a significant drop.
  • Some experts, like Michaël van de Poppe, view this as a potential buying opportunity.
  • Others, such as Ran Neuner, suggest that the impact of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) overhang indicates a more gradual, long-term development.
  • However, market corrections, including significant fluctuations, are a normal and healthy part of the crypto trading experience.

BTC Price in Freefall – Is the Bull Run Cancelled?

It has been just over a week since the Spot Bitcoin ETFs were approved, and despite calls for ‘god candles’ and a USD $200k Bitcoin, the reality is different. BTC has plummeted twice in the past week, going from USD $46,380 (AUD $70,435) to USD $41,290 (AUD $62,700).

Bitcoin (BTC), 7-day chart, source: CoinMarketCap

Other cryptocurrencies didn’t fare much better, with altcoin season cut short, after Ethereum (ETH) fell over 5% week-on-week. Solana (down 5.75%), XRP (8.35%) and ADA (14%) all followed suit, with Cardano’s ADA receiving a negative report card and one analysis urging investors to move out of the project.

So, is the bull run cancelled? Not so fast, says senior trader Michaël van de Poppe. He posted on X, saying that the Bitcoin range below USD $41k (AUD $62.2k) presents a perfect buying opportunity. If we see a USD $36-39k (AUD $54.7-59.2k) BTC, even better.

There we go, taking liquidity beneath those lows. That was the final part that needed to happen for #Bitcoin.

Beneath $41K is the start of buying the dip; markets are down ~15-20% already.

If it drops to $36-39K, you can expand.

I love buying dips. pic.twitter.com/vzRjoIXDRy

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 18, 2024

Bitcoin ETF Doing Its Thing

Yes, many had hoped that we would see Bitcoin explode and we haven’t yet, but what many forget is that ETF investing is a long-haul game, not a quick profit-taking venture. Ran Neuner said he believes the overhang from the GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) will have an effect on the price for a bit longer.

In other words, there’s a concern that new ETFs won’t be able to quickly mitigate the impact of the overhang by attracting enough investment to close the gap between the value of GBTC shares and the underlying Bitcoin.

Neuner mentions that if there were substantial buyers interested in these investment products, such a major asset management firm like BlackRock would have already brought them into the market. The absence of these “huge immediate buyers” indicates that such demand may not exist at the moment or that investors are cautious – for now at least.

The GBTC overhang will be around for a while. I don’t see any way that the other ETF’s absorb it.

If Blackrock had huge immediate buyers, they would be in already….

I suspect and have been warning that we are due for a correction and we may be midway through it.

My first…

— Ran Neuner (@cryptomanran) January 18, 2024

Corrections in Crypto Part-and-Parcel, Says Expert

However, corrections are not new, and anyone who has spent some time in crypto knows they can be far more volatile and pronounced than in traditional financial markets.

Lark Davis commented on the need for crypto investors or traders to accept such volatility. A 13% correction is considered mild in crypto terms. Market participants must be prepared for extreme fluctuations, viewing them as a common aspect of the crypto experience.

Davis believes investors should have strategies to handle dramatic declines, like using stop-loss orders, diversifying assets, or adopting a long-term view to endure short-term drops. The high risk in crypto investment is countered by the potential for high returns, attracting many investors despite the need for strong risk tolerance and understanding that severe corrections are typical in crypto trading. Davis suggests that those uncomfortable with these market conditions might reconsider their involvement in the crypto market.

$BTC experienced a 13% correction after hitting a peak of $49K last week.

During previous bull runs, we saw multiple 30-40% corrections throughout the cycles.

This volatility is what crypto is famous for.

If you can’t handle a 13% correction, you’re in the wrong market. pic.twitter.com/lhc4t1HkdS

— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) January 16, 2024


Credit: Source link

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