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XRP has once again landed at an important support level that places it in view of a rebound upwards or at risk of a further 20% crash. According to technical analyst CasiTrades, the recent drop was anticipated for weeks, and the precision with which XRP touched the $2.01 zone has added weight to its importance. The analyst noted that the drop out of the symmetrical triangle consolidation was clean and technically sound, and the $2.01 level has so far acted as the level for an upward bounce.
Technical Setup Says Danger Zone Below $2.00 Still Active
XRP price action in the past few days has been marked by a downtrend. XRP lost the $2.13 price level over the weekend before eventually cascading to a crash below $2 in the past 24 hours. Particularly, XRP crashed to bottom out at $1.92 before staging a rebound back above $2, at least at the time of writing.
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As it stands, XRP is now back to trading at $2.01, a price level that holds utmost importance for its price action in the coming days. According to a technical analysis posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst CasiTrades, $2.01 is important for XRP, as it coincides with a major 0.618 Fib support level.
Supporting this view is a visible bullish divergence forming on both the 15-minute and 1-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI), as depicted on the price chart below. However, the analyst was quick to warn that confirmation is still lacking on the higher 4-hour and daily timeframes. Without these confirmations, the bounce could still be nonexistent, and XRP could crash strongly below $2.
XRP is currently at risk unless buyers manage to push its price into higher confirmation zones, specifically into the $3.00 range. According to CasiTrades, if any bounce at $2.01 fails to carry through, XRP could be headed for its next supports at $1.90 and then $1.55. The latter represents a rough 23% drop from current levels, a scenario that would invalidate the bullish RSI divergence on the smaller timeframes.
Geopolitical Tensions Causing XRP Price Volatility
The timing of XRP’s sharp drop over the weekend coincided with reports of geopolitical unrest, particularly the reported bombing of Iran by the US. This event caused widespread volatility in the crypto market, which was opened over the weekend.
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Although the decline seems to be pausing in recent trading hours, it does not yet qualify as a bounce. XRP price is currently fragile, and without a reaction from buyers or confirmation across higher timeframes, the structure is bearish. Selling pressure from new geopolitical tensions or algorithmic moves could potentially lead to deeper declines during the new week, especially if $2.00 fails to hold. In that case, XRP could be on track to retest the $1.90 support and even collapse toward the $1.55 before the end of the week.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.01, down by 2.6% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com
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