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US Lenders on the Brink of Insolvency, How It Could Affect Crypto

June 5, 2024
in Australian Crypto News
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  • The US banking industry is struggling in the current economic environment, with billions of paper losses held across hundreds of institutions. 
  • The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) added another 11 institutions to its “problem bank list”, indicating 63 banks are now facing potential insolvency.
  • However, this level of loss is far from a crisis and is unlikely to impact the crypto industry – at least in the short term.

Ahhh, banks. Once the arch-nemesis of crypto, these financial institutions have been softening their stances to become more of a secondary antagonist behind Gary Gensler and his cronies. However, given the mirth they treated the crypto sector with for the best part of a decade, it’s hard to avoid a little schadenfreude when reading the words “banking crisis”. 

According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC), “paper losses” for US banks reached a whopping US $517b (AU $777b) throughout the first quarter of 2024. The assets bleeding value primarily comprise securities that have been negatively impacted by steady rate rises.

The losses, which have been occurring at a drastic level since 2022, ramped up the number of “problem banks” hanging around the US. The FDIC’s list of institutions with “operational or managerial weaknesses” climbed to 63 – up from 52 in December last year.

Related: Fundstrat’s Tom Lee Predicts June Stock Market Rally, Says Institutional Adoption To Propel Bitcoin to $150,000

Banking Collapse Unlikely As “Problem Banks” In “Normal Range”

Generally, crypto enthusiasts tend to think of bank failures as a good thing for the industry. In theory, it validates the whole reason the blockchain was invented in the first place – failures with centralised finance. 

NEW: $517B in unrealized losses are about to hit the US banking system. FDIC says 63 lenders are on the brink of insolvency. 👀

They’re about to pump our bags hard. #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/RQP6N90y6n

— Simply Bitcoin (@SimplyBitcoinTV) June 4, 2024

However, in real terms, crypto (and Bitcoin in particular) is still beholden to broader macroeconomic conditions. This is especially true given heightened institutional involvement in the sector. 

So, if a large-scale bank collapse causes a financial crisis, a negative impact on crypto’s price is more likely than not thanks to less money circulating. In tenuous economic situations, people tend to tighten their belts and move toward conservative assets – even if crypto presents itself as the logical alternative to cash.

When was the last time there was a financial crisis and btc went up? Didn’t work so well when covid broke out.

— Call Me Su (@CryptoDj_Su) June 4, 2024

However, all the noise may be much ado about nothing. According to the FDIC chairman, the number of banks facing potential insolvency is actually in the “normal range for non-crisis periods of 1 to 2% of all banks”.

So discourse surrounding a mass-scale banking contagion might just be a little pre-emptive. 

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